37-Year Breakout In The SoKo Trade – not Southern Comfort, it’s South Korea 🇰🇷

Hey everyone,

Quick housekeeping joke before we dive in: when I say I’m all-in on “the SoKo trade,” I’m not talking about Southern Comfort. I’m talking about South Korea. (I’m a chart guy, not a bartender — though after some weeks in this market, I understand the appeal of both.)

Here’s the big idea: the AI trade may be filing a change-of-address form, forwarding its mail from Silicon Valley to “Seoul-icon Valley.”

Last week I went on CNBC to make exactly this case — the rotation of global capital into South Korea and emerging-market AI. If you missed it, the interview is up on our site here:

Let me show you the charts that have me this fired up.

The 37-Year Breakout

This first chart is the quarterly KOSPI / S&P 500 ratio — basically a head-to-head scorecard of Korean stocks versus U.S. stocks. When the line falls, the U.S. is winning. When it rises, Korea is.

South Korea AI trade Look at that downtrend line. It’s held since the late 1980s — back when Reagan was still in the White House and I was more concerned with my baseball card collection than ratio charts. That’s 37 years of Korea losing to the U.S.

And right now, for the first time in nearly four decades, that line is breaking. If the ratio can hold above the 1.08 area, the breakout is confirmed and it’s officially game on in Seoul-icon Valley.

Why Korea? Because they own the bottleneck.

Korea sits at the dead center of the global supply chain for HBM (high-bandwidth memory) and DRAM (dynamic random-access memory) — the two chip technologies that make modern AI possible. Stack on a weaker U.S. dollar, an accommodative Bank of Korea, and a record current account surplus, and you’ve got a powerful setup.

Even Goldman Sachs can’t keep up. Per Goldman Sachs Research, the firm just raised its 2026 earnings-growth forecast for Korea to 130% from 120% — and that’s the third upward revision their strategists have made this year. When the smartest analysts on the Street keep having to revise higher, that tells you the demand is outrunning everyone’s imagination.

Here’s the part I really want you to hear, though. This isn’t really a Korean story. It’s an AI infrastructure story. It’s the market finally pricing the AI revolution as if it’s real — and we may still be in the early innings.

The AI buildout isn’t winner-take-all. I think of it as five connected pillars:

  1. Compute — the GPUs that do the math
  2. Memory — the HBM and DRAM that feed them
  3. Networking — the gear that connects everything
  4. Power — the gas, nuclear, and renewables that fuel it
  5. The grid — the transmission that ties it all together

Wall Street was obsessed with pillar #1 (GPUs) all through 2024. Now, in 2026, capital is rotating into the other four — and crossing international borders to do it. Today we’re zeroing in on the most supply-constrained piece of the entire stack: memory. And that’s exactly where South Korea has its stranglehold.

The watch list, not the buy list

So you might be thinking, “Great, Todd — let me go load up on Korean stocks.” Pump the brakes for a second.

I ran a scan on Koyfin for South Korean companies with the following attributes:

  • Trading Region – South Korea
  • Market cap > $5 Billion USD
  • Revenue growth for next fiscal year expected to be > 20%
  • Revenue growth for 2 fiscal years away expected to be > 20%
  • EPS growth for next fiscal year expected to be >20%
  • EPS growth for 2 fiscal years away expected to be >20%

That’s a demanding screen — and it still returned 9 names, including two you’ll recognize: Samsung and SK Hynix.

The fundamentals are spectacular. But pull up the price charts on these names and you’ll see the same thing across the board: highly extended and overbought. The KOSPI itself is up roughly 95% on the year.

I would not recommend running straight into these names up here. Put them on your hot watch list instead. Remember, the KOSPI has had eight single-day gains of more than 5% this year — but it also had a 12% intraday drop in March during the Iran conflict and has tripped market-halting circuit breakers more than once. Another pullback is almost certainly coming. A tactical investor waits for that pullback, or at least a consolidation, before stepping in. That’s how you define your risk instead of letting the market define it for you.

How we’re actually playing it

The cleanest way I’ve found to gain South Korean memory exposure is the new Roundhill Memory ETF (ticker: DRAM). It launched about 40 days ago, is already up roughly 100%, and has ballooned to over $10 billion in assets — record-shattering inflows for a brand-new fund. Crucially, it’s about 49% South Korea, with Samsung and SK Hynix as its two largest holdings (Micron rounds out the top three).

We identified the pullback to the 20-day moving average — that $45–$47 zone — as a solid entry point. And today, DRAM broke out above its May highs to a fresh all-time high, finishing up 14.56% on the day alone. Part of that was Korea, but a big chunk was Micron ripping roughly 20% on its own.

I keep saying it because it keeps being true: memory isn’t pulling back — it’s crashing higher.

Here’s where it gets actionable for you

We added DRAM to our Fast Money portfolio on Savvy Trader on May 13th — before today’s breakout. If you want to see our active trades in real time, including this one, that’s where to find them:

👉 Savvy Trader portfolio — see every move we make, as we make it.

We have not yet added DRAM to our flagship growth portfolio, Tactical Alpha Growth (TAG) — I want to see the name stabilize first before committing client capital. But that patient, risk-defined approach is exactly how we manage money for our clients every day. If you’d like to talk about whether that fits your situation: https://insideedgecapital.com/investment-management/

👉 [Book a free consultation call with Inside Edge Capital]

Markets change. Leadership rotates. Our job is to spot it early and position you for it — without chasing and without the drama.

Talk soon,

Todd Gordon

Founder,

Inside Edge Capital, LLC

www.InsideEdgeCapital.com

Disclosures: Todd owns EEM personally and for clients. DRAM is currently held in the Inside Edge Capital Fast Money portfolio on Savvy Trader; it is not currently held in the Tactical Alpha Growth (TAG) portfolio. This material is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Charts from Koyfin and TradingView.

 

P.S. — Here’s the honest truth: spotting the trade is the easy part. Knowing how much to buy, when to add, and when to walk away — that’s the part that actually protects and grows your money. That’s what we do for clients every single day. If you’d like a no-pressure conversation about your situation, grab a time here.

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Nick brings over 15 years of experience working with leading companies in the trading and financial technology space. As Director of Communications at Inside Edge Capital, he helps clients navigate the firm’s services, while also managing and maintaining its suite of web properties.

Kyle Wasson, CFP®​

COO

As Chief Operating Officer at Inside Edge Capital, Kyle guides clients toward their financial aspirations with expertise and care. With over a decade of experience as a Certified Financial Planner (CFP®), wealth advisor, entrepreneur, and investor, he designs personalized strategies to grow wealth, plan for retirement, or build a lasting legacy tailored to each client’s vision.

Kyle holds degrees in economics and financial planning from Texas Tech University, blending analytical depth with practical insight.

He lives in his hometown of Austin, TX with his family and their many pets. He enjoys staying active with community, following markets, playing golf and basketball, tending to his garden and chickens, and traveling.

Todd Gordon

Founder, CIO, CNBC Contributor

Todd Gordon is the Co-Founder and Director of Investments at Inside Edge Capital. He lives in Saratoga Springs, NY with wife Tricia, twin boys Jake and Brody, and their youngest Eden Rose.

He spent his youth leading an active lifestyle in upstate NY playing many sports, but excelling in alpine ski racing. His senior year he was one of the top ranked skiers in New York state. Todd’s love for the markets began at an early age. The day he turned 18 he was finally able to open his first E-trade account during the tech bubble of the late 90’s. Reading, studying, and following gurus on the internet he attempted to day trade via an AOL dial-up modem. It didn’t go so well, but he was hooked. Ask his parents about the first phone bill they received (they didn’t realize it was a long distance phone call to be connected to the internet).

Todd began college at St. Lawrence University in far upstate NY where he pursued a degree in economics, competed on their division-I alpine ski racing team, and continued to trade and study the markets. After a while Todd came to two realizations; first he was never going to be competitive at that elite level against future olympians, and second, he knew exactly where his career was headed, he was going to be a trader.

Opting to be financially prudent and reduce student loan burden, Todd transferred away from the expensive private school to the more reasonably priced U at Albany to continue studying economics. Todd will tell you he has not used his economics degree one single day in his 21-year career in the markets (he recommends psychology and history for aspiring traders / investors).

Following college he took his first job as a professional trader in San Diego, CA and eventually made his way back east to Forex.com / Gain Capital on Wall St in New York working as a Sr Technical Analyst and trader for the parent company’s hedge fund. The move was very timely as just a few years into his new role the global financial crisis started in 2007.

Todd made a name for himself on social media and his initial interviews on BNN and CNBC by successfully trading and navigating the extreme market volatility with full transparency and devotion to his readers.

With momentum behind him in 2011 Todd left the corporate world and ventured on his own to start his own research and trading advisory business named TradingAnalysis.com. TradingAnalysis still operates today led by an incredible team he’s built over the last decade that continues to serve active trading clients around the world.

Todd’s dream was to evolve from the education, research, and trading advisory model to a more intimate client-facing model of wealth management. In 2018, recognizing that the RIA / wealth management model was booming and headed online, Todd begged his beautiful wife Tricia to allow him to move the family away from New Jersey back to Saratoga Springs.

Todd has been a CNBC contributor since 2010 and continues to provide actionable, insightful, and light-hearted commentary for CNBC. He is known for blending technical and fundamental analysis to interpret the ever-changing market landscape to produce specific trading and investment ideas for CNBC viewers and his clients. He has appeared on various shows such as CNBC Fast Money Halftime show, Fast Money, Power Lunch, Squawk Alley, Squawk on the Street, Money in Motion, and the CNBC Stock Draft. He’s also appeared on Squawk Box multiple times, and also had the opportunity to sit in for Andrew Ross Sorkin as the host to conduct interviews.

Todd considers himself extremely lucky to have spent the past 2-decades in the financial markets and financial media doing a job he loves very much. He is very excited to enjoy the same success and satisfaction in the next evolution of his career with wealth management in the coming decades.